Projected change in temperature-related death rate vs. GDP per capita,
2030

Positive figures show an increase in deaths, negative figures show a decrease. Premature deaths include deaths from heat andcold, measured per 100,000 people. Projections are based on the Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP4.5 whichreaches around 2°C of warming by mid-century, and 2.5°C by 2100.