Estimated change in the death rate from non-optimal temperatures, 2030
to 2090

Positive figures show an increase in deaths, negative figures show a decrease. Premature deaths include deaths from hot andcold temperatures, measured per 100,000 people. This is the estimated change based on the Representative ConcentrationPathway, RCP4.5 which reaches around 2°C of warming by mid-century, and 2.5°C by 2100.