Data InsightsWhere are more people dying than being born?

Where are more people dying than being born?

Choropleth world map of natural population growth showing where deaths now outnumber births in 2023, indicating countries that would have a shrinking population without immigration; it shows much of Europe, Central Asia and East Asia with more deaths than births while most of Africa, South Asia and the Americas have more births than deaths. Data source: UN World Population Prospects (2024), data for 2023. License: CC BY.

For most of human history, more people were born each year than died. Populations grew very slowly for most of this history, then rapidly in recent centuries, as child mortality plummeted and people lived longer.

But this is changing. As the map shows, deaths now outnumber births in a growing number of countries across Europe and East Asia.

The balance of births and deaths tells us about a country’s “natural population change” — whether it would grow or shrink without any international migration. Where deaths outnumber births, the population will shrink unless enough people move in from abroad to make up the gap.

Explore how the number of deaths and births is changing in your own country

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