Daily new estimated infections of COVID-19, United States

Mean estimates from epidemiological models of the true number of infections. Estimates differ because the models differ indata used and assumptions made. Confirmed cases—which are infections that have been confirmed with a test—are shown forcomparison.

Jan 9, 2020May 21, 2023Aug 8, 2020Feb 24, 2021Sep 12, 2021Mar 31, 2022Oct 17, 20222 millionICL (mean)

Data source: Imperial College London (2022) and other sourcesLearn more about this data

Note: This chart shows the latest available model estimates as of 6 July 2023. As of this date, all models have stopped releasingupdates. The uncertainty range for each estimate — which can be large — is not shown here but can be found in the individual modelcharts.

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Daily new estimated infections of COVID-19

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