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Daily new estimated infections of COVID-19

Mean estimates from epidemiological models of the true number of infections. Estimates differ because the models differ in data used and assumptions made.Confirmed cases—which are infections that have been confirmed with a test—are shown for comparison.

Data source: – Learn more about this data

OurWorldinData.org/covid-models |

Note: This chart shows the latest available model estimates as of 6 July 2023. As of this date, all models have stopped releasing updates. The uncertainty range for each estimate — which canbe large — is not shown here but can be found in the individual model charts.

Related: How are COVID-19 models used to estimate the true number of infections?
Daily new estimated infections of COVID-19

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