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Daily Data InsightsThe world has passed “peak child”

The world has passed “peak child”

This chart titled "The world has passed 'peak child'" shows the historical and projected population of three age groups: young people under 25 years, young people under 15 years, and children under 5 years. Data spans from 1950 to 2100, based on UN estimates and projections.

The blue line represents the population under 25 years, showing steady growth until around 2050 when it starts to slightly decline.
The red line represents those under 15 years, peaking around 2020, and then gradually declining after that point.
The green line shows children under 5 years, which has largely plateaued since the 1990s and is projected to decrease over time.
The chart indicates that the global number of children has reached its peak, and a long-term decline in younger populations is expected.

The number of children in the world has stopped growing. This moment in time was given the term “peak child” by the late Hans Rosling.

The chart shows the estimated number of children under five years old globally up to 2023, with projections from the United Nations out to 2100. The UN thinks the number of under-5s peaked in 2017.

The chart also shows the number of young people under 15, which peaked in 2021. And the number of under-25s, which may have peaked last year.

“Peak child” is a sign that the world is on course for “peak population”. The UN expects the world population to start falling before the end of the century.

Read more about the key insights from the latest UN World Population Prospects →

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