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November 25, 2025

Data update

We now show the latest GDP growth projections from the IMF

Pablo Arriagada

In the spring and fall each year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publishes its World Economic Outlook. The latest report was published this past October.

The report helps us understand how economies around the world have grown over the past decades, and how they are projected to grow in the coming years.

You can see this in the chart for four of the world’s largest economies: the US, China, Germany, and Japan.

Explore the data for all countries in the interactive version of this chart
Annual GDP growth, 2000 to 2030. Small-multiple line chart of annual percent change in real GDP, inflation adjusted, with four panels for United States, China, Germany, and Japan. A solid line shows observed annual growth from 1980 to about 2023 and a dotted line shows projected growth to 2030. Y-axis ranges roughly from -5% to 15% with a horizontal zero line. Key patterns: United States shows modest positive growth with dips around 2009 and 2020 and modest projected growth near zero to low single digits; China shows higher growth in the 2000s that declines over time with a sharp dip around 2020 and projections trending downward toward lower single digits; Germany and Japan show generally low growth with occasional negative years and projections remaining near zero to low single digits. Data source text at the bottom reads: "Data source: International Monetary Fund (2025)". A CC BY license mark and the Our World in Data logo appear in the image.