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Daily Data InsightsAmericans are now one-third less likely to die from cancer at the same ages as Americans in 1990

Americans are now one-third less likely to die from cancer at the same ages as Americans in 1990

Cancer death rates rise sharply with age. So, as the population grows and ages, we would expect the rate of cancer deaths to rise.
If we look at how death rates have changed for people of the same ages, the picture looks different.
National data from the United States, which comes from the WHO Mortality Database, is shown in the chart.
You can see that the “crude death rate”, which doesn’t adjust for aging, shows a rise and modest decline in cancer death rates since 1950.
But the “age-standardized death rate” shows a significant decline since its peak in 1990; it has fallen by one-third. This means that, within the same age groups, people in 2021 had a cancer death rate one-third lower than those in 1990. In other words, at the same ages, people are one-third less likely to die from cancer.
This decline results from several factors: better screening and earlier diagnosis, medical advances in cancer treatments, and public health efforts to reduce risk factors, like smoking and exposure to carcinogens.

How has the risk of dying from cancer changed in the United States?

To understand this, we can look at national cancer death rates in the United States.

The gray line shows the crude rate, which is the rate of deaths from cancer per 100,000 people. It has risen between 1950 and 1990 and has fallen slightly since then.

However, cancer death rates rise sharply with age, and the age of the US population has increased since 1950, so we would expect cancer death rates to rise for that reason alone.

What if we adjust for the increased age of the US population?

The red line, the age-standardized rate, shows this. It shows the cancer death rate if the age structure of the US population was held constant throughout.

This shows a slight rise until 1990 and then a significant decline; rates have fallen by one-third.

This means Americans are now one-third less likely to die from cancer at the same ages as Americans in 1990.

This comes from several factors: better screening and earlier diagnosis, medical advances in cancer treatments, and public health efforts to reduce risk factors like smoking and exposure to carcinogens.

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