{"chart":{"title":"Natural population growth rate","subtitle":"Annual population change determined by births and deaths. Migration is not included. In this future scenario, net migration is set to zero from 2024 onwards, while mortality and fertility assumptions follow the UN's medium scenario; this means feedback between migration and these factors are not incorporated.","citation":"UN, World Population Prospects (2024)","originalChartUrl":"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/natural-population-growth","selection":["World"]},"columns":{"Natural population growth rate - Sex: all - Age: all - Variant: estimates":{"titleShort":"Natural population growth rate","titleLong":"Natural population growth rate - UN WPP","descriptionShort":"Births minus deaths, as a share of the population. This is the part of population change that comes only from births and deaths, ignoring migration.","descriptionKey":"Migration is *not* included. To see how births, deaths, and migration combine, look at the [overall population growth rate](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-growth-rates).","descriptionProcessing":"The UN publishes the rate of natural change per 1,000 people. We divide by 10 to express it as a percentage.","shortUnit":"%","unit":"%","timespan":"1950-2023","type":"Numeric","conversionFactor":1,"owidVariableId":950978,"shortName":"natural_change_rate__sex_all__age_all__variant_estimates","lastUpdated":"2024-07-12","nextUpdate":"2027-07-12","citationShort":"UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data","citationLong":"UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. “Natural population growth rate – UN WPP” [dataset]. United Nations, “World Population Prospects”; United Nations, “World Population Prospects – Interim Update” [original data].","fullMetadata":"https://api.ourworldindata.org/v1/indicators/950978.metadata.json"},"Natural population growth rate - Sex: all - Age: all - Variant: Zero migration":{"titleShort":"Natural population growth rate","titleLong":"Natural population growth rate - UN WPP – with zero-migration scenario projections","descriptionShort":"Births minus deaths, as a share of the population. This is the part of population change that comes only from births and deaths, ignoring migration. Future projections are based on the UN's zero-migration scenario. In this scenario, net migration is set to zero from 2024 onwards.","descriptionKey":"Migration is *not* included. To see how births, deaths, and migration combine, look at the [overall population growth rate](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-growth-rates).","descriptionProcessing":"The UN publishes the rate of natural change per 1,000 people. We divide by 10 to express it as a percentage.","shortUnit":"%","unit":"%","timespan":"2024-2100","type":"Numeric","owidVariableId":1353954,"shortName":"natural_change_rate__sex_all__age_all__variant_zero_migration","lastUpdated":"2024-07-12","nextUpdate":"2027-07-12","citationShort":"UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data","citationLong":"UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. “Natural population growth rate – UN WPP – with zero-migration scenario projections” [dataset]. United Nations, “World Population Prospects”; United Nations, “World Population Prospects – Interim Update” [original data].","fullMetadata":"https://api.ourworldindata.org/v1/indicators/1353954.metadata.json"}},"dateDownloaded":"2026-10-31"}